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    Home » Home Depot Anticipates Decline in Sales as Consumer Caution Grows 
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    Home Depot Anticipates Decline in Sales as Consumer Caution Grows 

    DunniBy DunniAugust 19, 20245 Mins Read
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    Home Depot’s second-quarter report indicates that sales surpassed expectations. However, the home improvement retailer is not overly enthusiastic about this, as the hike in interest rates may cause a decline in sales later in the year. 

    A Home Depot location in Eagan, Minnesota
    Source: Tony Webster/Wikimedia Commons

    Besides, it is quite obvious that consumers are becoming more cautious about their expenses in the wake of the uncertainties plaguing the economy. 

    Interest Rates Hike Disrupt Sales Projection  

    Judging by early estimations, Home Depot had expected sales to decline by 1% year over year due to one-time factors that cannot be helped. 

    A Home Depot store in Blairsville
    Source: Harrison Keely/Wikimedia Commons

    However, with prevailing economic realities, the retailer is expecting no less than a 3% decline in sales compared to the annual figures reported in the previous year. Naturally, the company’s financial team is buckling up for the sales decline impact. 

    ALSO READ: Nasdaq Rises 2%, Dow Gains 400 Points as Mild Inflation Data Sparks Market Comeback 

    Consumers Exercise Caution With Their Purchases   

    Home Depot is not the only organization caught in this fix. Other retail chains like Starbucks and McDonald’s are also experiencing a decline in sales thanks to consumer conservatism, all thanks to increasing interest rates.

    Lot of good handy Man´s in keflavík, Iceland
    Source: Helgi Halldórsson/Wikimedia Commons

    So, it’s not just burgers and coffee that are not being sold; people are putting off home improvement redesigns or moving houses until further notice. 

    Retail Chains Directly Linked to the Housing Market Are Worse Off

    However, the hike in interest rates is affecting Home Depot more than average retailers like fast food chains. Home Depot sales are directly linked with the performance of the housing market.  

    Painting the wall green
    Source: Harald Hoyer/Wikimedia Commons

    This much was what Neil Saunders, the managing director at GlobalData, affirmed in a recent publication. He said, “Interest rate decisions matter more to Home Depot than they do to an average retailer, if only because a large chunk of home improvement demand is tied to the housing market.”

      Home Depot Buys Out SRS Distribution With $18 Billion

    In addition, Saunders suggests that the Q2 increase in profits posted by Home Depot is not a product of organic growth. The retail company recently acquired SRS Distributions, and the bulk of their declared profits are proceeds of the new addition’s operations.  

    Delivery truck
    Source: Beaker63/Flickr

    SRS Distribution is a contract supplier that sources the necessary materials for pool construction, landscaping, roofing, and similar projects.

    Economic Volatilities Force Consumers to Thread Softly  

    Ted Decker, CEO at Home Depot, notes the economic volatilities that come with interest rate hikes as culpable for the customers’ reluctance to splash cash on projects. Currently, most people are spending on the bare necessities and putting off expenses that may put their liquidity in a desperate condition.  

    Steel beam installation
    Source: Buffington Home Improvement/Facebook

    Decker said of the situation, “During the quarter, higher interest rates and greater macro-economic uncertainty pressured consumer demand more broadly.” 

    Weather Is Another Bane of the Housing Market  

    Similarly, extreme weather conditions in the just concluded quarter have forced several people to put off their projects till later, while some didn’t even bother to start. 

    Stripping bare the floorboard
    Source: Buffington Home Improvement/Facebook

    In addition, the housing market is on a course to report a profit decline this year. If it’s a major renovation or outright construction, folks are waiting out the high tides of interest rates to assuage. 

    Home Depot Still Enjoys a Sizable Customer Base    

    Nonetheless, Home Depot’s higher-ups are not flustered about customer loyalty; they understand quite well that the problem is more of a question of liquidity. Once their customers have the wherewithal, they will gladly purchase from their stores around the nation. 

    Home Depot wood section
    Source: Sikander Iqbal/Wikimedia Commons

    Decker reiterated this during a recent call with Home Depot execs. He said, “Our consumer, in particular, remains quite healthy.”

    What Is the Total Sales of Home Depot? 

    In the second quarter of the 2024 fiscal year, Home Depot reported total sales of $43.2 billion, a 0.6% year-on-year increase over Q2 2023. 

    Hardware and repair tools
    Source: PxHere

     

    $1.3 billion of the reported total figure is from the acquisition of SRS Distribution. These figures are plausible, though insignificant compared to previous sales figures, particularly in light of the prevailing economic condition.  

    Who Is Home Depot’s Biggest Competitor?  

    There is no doubt that Home Depot’s most formidable competitor is Lowe’s. Reputed as the second-largest home improvement retailer in the US, Lowe’s is giving Home Depot a run for the money.  

    Home Depot's biggest competitor
    Source: Mike Mozart/Flickr

    Lowe’s is also a widespread chain, with almost 300,000 associates and a sizable number of outlets throughout the US. In 2022, Lowe’s polled earnings of close to $100 million.

    How Much of the Market Does Home Depot Control?  

    Home Depot is a major player in the home improvement business, with an estimated 17 percent market share. The same analysis by Market Watch ranks Home Depot at the top of the list, placing Lowe’s in second place with a 12 percent market share.

    House Renovation
    Source: Rene Terp/Pexels

    These rankings are generated largely by the companies’ annual sales and net worth.

    ALSO READ: Expert Highlights Growing Threat as Romance Scams Cost Consumers $1.14 Billion in One Year

    How Many Customers Does Home Depot Have?    

    Of course, customer loyalty will regularly change based on the quality of service, products, and even discount deals. However, an objective metric to assess the volume of customer subscriptions is the total annual customer transactions.

    A Home Depot personnel
    Source: Doug Waldron/Flickr

    In 2023, Home Depot completed about 1.6 billion customer transactions from its global chain, while Lowe’s had just over 800 million.

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    Consumers Home Depot Interest rates
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